Everyday Murders in the nation Drop Over a Third Under President Sheinbaum, As per Official Statistics

The average number of daily murders per month in the country has decreased by thirty-seven percent since Head of State Claudia Sheinbaum took office, as stated by recent administrative statistics. However, security specialists have cautioned that homicide figures may not point to improved national security.

Significant Decline in Daily Figures

There was an mean of nearly 55 killings a day in last November compared with almost 87 when the President assumed the presidential office in September of last year. This data was shared by the head of the country’s national safety system, Marcela Figueroa Franco, during the leader's regular news conference on a recent Tuesday.

“The outcome in killings that we’ve had in these past months is very significant,” Claudia Sheinbaum stated, adding that last month the least amount of murders were recorded for any November in the last 10 years.

Recent Background and Government Plan

Violent organized crime internal conflicts, combined with the government’s highly military efforts to take on the cartels, have led to Mexico’s homicide numbers rise sharply in the past few years. The rate hit a peak of 36,773 homicides in 2020, per the nation's official data agency.

That gave Mexico a murder figure over four times higher than the US. However, homicides have been on the decrease, dropping to 33,550 in the last calendar year. The President has attributed her national security approach for an seemingly sharper drop in homicides in the current year.

At a press conference in August, the Mexican leader said: “There is a strategy, we have oversight of the strategy, and we have specific monitoring town by town in some cases. The strategy is effective. And we have to continue working at it daily.”

The main components of Sheinbaum’s safety strategy involve:

• Strengthening Mexico’s federal guard.
• Advancing information gathering and investigative efforts.
• Enhanced cooperation between government departments.

Analyst Warnings and Statistical Concerns

But, security researchers urged caution that relying on homicide numbers to paint a picture of peace was problematic. This is notably true in light of the rise in different crimes such as abductions.

“It would be positive news if this was a decrease, but I think we shouldn't just focus on the homicide numbers and think: ‘Well then, excellent,’” stated Cecilia Farfán-Méndez, an authority on Mexico's criminal organizations. “I would be tentatively hopeful.”

As reported by the policy research organization Mexico Evalúa, murders in total dropped by over 20% in the initial 10 months of the current year compared with the identical period the previous year. However, missing persons cases have gone up by 15% and in certain states have surged by as much as 200%.

“Data on homicides is no longer useful for gauging the reality of insecurity,” argued Armando Vargas, a security expert at Mexico Evalúa. “First, we have law enforcement and investigators who do not have the resources or the will to correctly recognize and categorize remains. Secondly, organized [criminals] … have the means to mask violent acts through disappearances.”

Vargas pointed out that relying on month-to-month means of daily killings was also problematic because it may hide periods when there were particularly spiking levels of murders.

“Relying on the daily mean renders spikes of violent crime less visible,” he stated.

Detentions and Confiscations as Metrics of Progress

Where the government can cite the success of its security plan is on arrests and seizures. Nearly 40,000 suspects were apprehended between last October and November 2025 for serious offenses, per government data. More than 20,000 firearms were taken and 311 tons of narcotics confiscated.

“Trump cannot accuse President Sheinbaum of doing nothing, because actually she is doing a lot with these many thousands of arrests, thousands of confiscations, and all the operational degrading of organised crime. It’s extremely politically profitable,” said Vargas.

Ongoing Unrest and Societal Anger

However despite these measures, Mexico is still beset by severe bloodshed, with a number of states in the throes of cartel-related violence. Last month there was a notable murder of a popular mayor in the state of Michoacan, among 10 local leaders killed in the last year.

Weeks later, thousands of young people protested in Mexico City and throughout the nation to show their anger at corruption and narco-violence.

“The administration presents [data] in a manner to build a picture of security. Politically it’s extremely potent, socially it’s highly debatable,” the analyst concluded.