An Enduring Peace Involving the Israeli State and the Palestinian Territories? We have Seen This Pattern – The Result Was Increased Conflict
So, what time period do we find ourselves? A US president, after months of quiet support, has finally intervened to stop an Israeli military offensive that has reduced swaths of a urban center in the region to debris, causing thousands dead and prompting international condemnation.
The campaign has followed a succession of assaults on Israel. Now, under pressure from the White House, the Israel's leader, a right-leaning figure with a gift for popular speech and a strong feeling of historical Jewish national duty, has approved a truce.
Historical Parallels
The era is not present day, but the early 1980s. The urban center is not Gaza City, but the Lebanese capital. The US leader is President Reagan, not Donald Trump.
We find numerous variations between what happened in Lebanon over four in the past and what has happened in Palestinian territories in the recent period. The militant assault of last year, which caused over a thousand and included numerous seized, bears little comparison with the somewhat modest actions of the PLO in the period preceding Israel's invasion of Lebanon.
Remarkable Resemblances
Several similarities are remarkable. Reagan finally picked up the phone the counterpart, stating to him that events in the capital was "a holocaust" and saying the relationship between their states could be gravely damaged if the violence continued.
During that period, much as today, the fighting unfolded in live on global media. Hundreds correspondents flew into the city to cover for the first time an Arab–Israeli war without media restrictions by any party.
Aftermath and Consequences
The situation after the communication from American leadership and the halt in fighting in Beirut is educational. The liberation movement, its divisions and representatives were spread across thousands of miles and a dozen countries.
American leadership then withdrew US-led peacekeepers – an infringement of the arrangement with the Palestinian leader. The Lebanese president, the nation's newly elected head of state and Israeli-supported figure, was killed by Syrian security services.
Regional Transformation
Comparable developments occurred across the wider Middle East. By the conclusion of that decade, the increasingly non-religious and forward-thinking concepts that had looked to deliver the promise of a new future in the Arab and Islamic worlds a decade or so earlier were weakened.
The consequences of this were quickly apparent, almost immediately
Throughout the area, the Israeli state and the America now encountered opponents who were considerably more unyielding, lethal and effective than the progressive groups and nationalists of the past.
Western Response
Among Western nations, the results of this were unexpected. Throughout the that decade, international experts and government representatives had sought to understand what caused militant radicalism.
Then, in the early 1980s, this ceased. National figures in the US, the UK and other nations were lost interest in "underlying reasons" of unrest.
Current Similarities
Recently, reports indicate that today's officials informed government representatives that the state could not confront global opinion and admitted territorial ambitions for a state.
Similarly was an echo of 1982. In the aftermath of the Israeli invasion of Lebanon, past government told the nation that the strength of its armed forces alone could not "establish enduring settlement" and recognized "proper claims of the Palestinian people."
Yet a American-sponsored regional peace plan intended to answer those grievances stalled completely. Overseas, political figures looked on impotently.
International interest in the region decreased. Israel opposed compromises. Subsequently, there was the initial uprising, and the establishment of additional militant groups.
- The repetitions of the past provide thought-provoking perspectives for present-day peace efforts
- Enduring agreements require addressing fundamental problems rather than short-term truces
- Area politics continue to develop in complicated and often unpredictable ways